Investors to look at secondary commercial real estate markets in 2011- Including Hawaii

A recent investment survey by Korpacz suggests that 2010 was a great year for “core” markets and 24-hour major cities around the globe for commercial real estate investment. We have seen a notable increase in demand for class A properties here in Hawaii but sluggish demand for class B and C properties. With loan rates still low and investors having a strong appetite for “bricks and mortar,” over other types of investments many investors are now heading into secondary or smaller markets. In 2011 investors will start to look at Class B properties and we predict those prices will begin to lift too.

Hawaii has seen a decent market in 2010 for commercial real estate sales and is expected to benefit greatly with more money and more investors, again, looking at the Hawaiian islands for commercial real estate investments.

Wall Street’s Current View on Hawaii Commercial Real Estate

While I was in New York City for a conference, I was able to visit clients and customers to take their temperature on our Hawaii real estate market place.  I did get somewhat of a consensus from the major players.  The first half of 2009 was spent taking care of their problems.  In only one case did that result in a property potentially going back to the lender.  Many of the loans on the larger Hawaii properties were renegotiated and extended during the first half of 2009.  It was clear that these entities are not going to throw good money after bad.  However, with the extension of the loans, they seem to be willing to ride out the storm and plan to get back to similar values in 5-8 years.

Hawaii Commercial Real Estate

Another similar circumstance amongst these owners is that they are ready to dive back in and invest.  Several have funds left over from pools that they raised publicly in 2006 and 2007, which have not yet been spent.  Others have new money that they have raised targeting “distressed assets”.  They are studying the problem assets in Hawaii, primarily hotels, and already deciding amongst themselves which ones are they interested in and which ones they won’t waste their time on.  Wall Street still has a strong appetite for Hawaii real estate.

Could restaurants lead the way?

Today it was reported that three new restaurants will go under construction and open for business in the next six months in the Honolulu area.  The restaurants are as follows: Paparazzi, Ka Restaurant – Pacific Rim Cuisine, and Pablo McGinty’s, a Mexican/Irish restaurant and bar.  All three restaurant locations have been closed by other operators within the past year.  Located at General Growth Properties Ward Centre, the restaurants are all large space, second floor locations.  It’s great to see activity where there were recently dark, papered up windows.

Our California offices also reported an uptick in restaurant operators coming to town, looking for new locations, and willing to invest new capital.  This willingness to spend new capital, hopefully, will be an early sign of an uptick in activity in the commercial real estate markets in both locations.

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